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PSR Groupings for Climate Change

by admin last modified 2007-10-01 07:03 AM
Category
Climate Change Indicator - Pressure
Climate Change Indicator - State
Climate Change Indicator - Response
Climate System




(GHG concentration not listed) Average air temperature change, Precipitation trends, Sea surface temperature changes (mitigation policy indicators not listed)
Terrestrial Ecosystem


Terrestrial Temperature Changes Average temperature change ,Trends in air temperature anomalies Growing season, Lake and river ice, Snowfall and days with snow on ground Yield of grapes, Lilac bloom dates, Timing of high spring flow




Precipitation/Storm Changes Precipitation trends,Extreme precipitation events Proportion of precipitation as snow (indicator assessing adaptation measures not listed)

Storm Events Specific wind threshold, Extreme wind events, Landfalling hurricanes (indicator assessing adaptation measures not listed)

Oceanic Ecosystem



(indicator assessing adaptation measures not listed)
Oceanic Temperature Changes Sea surface temperature, Temperature of bottom waters, Trends in surface water temperature anomalies, Trends in bottom water temperature anomalies Sea Level Changes and Effects, Relative sea level rise, Wetlands extent, distribution, and composition Oceanic Biological Changes , planktonic diversity, Warm versus cold water finfish diversity, Marine disease indices (MSX, dermo, shell disease)

PSR Approach to climate change indicators

Posted by Gary Lines at 2007-10-05 05:18 AM
I applaud Luc and Christine in their efforts to approach identifying critical climate change indicators utilizing the PSR method. Christine's first draft of the matrix seen through teh "PSR lens" was an excellent beginning. Here are some comments for further discussion.

The PSR allocations as noted in Luc's paper lead me to believe that for ESIP purposes we should concentrate on the "State" part of the approach since in my understanding that's where the indictaors show themselves. In the draft matrix Christine has placed a number of climate change indicators in the "State" column and I agree with most of them. However I believe that the items such as yield of grapes should still be placed in that column and not seen as a terrestrial ecosystem response. That doesn't mean it's necessarily a good indicator.

I see the "response" column as the ultimate management policies driven by the indicators and as such may not be appropriate for ESIP consideration in any documentation such as Tides of Change.

I like the delineation of "Climate System", "terrestrial ecosystem", etc. since it may lend itself to incorporating ideas such as watershed management. It also puts those indicators such as temperature change in an appropriate place, i.e. we should not be asking decision makers to respond to temperature change as an indicator, we should be providing them with the indicators evident in the ecosystem.

And finally, I see "pressures" from the "human system" (as Luc defines it) to include increased infrastructure and coastal development. To properly identify an increase in vulnerability of human systems to climate change, we need to identify the continued building of infrastructure that has not been made resilient from knowledge of climate change as an added pressure. A proper "response" could be to develop a policy to not build withing 100m of the shoreline. But, once again, ESIP's role is to identify the appropriate indicator that could be used to define that management policy.

That's all for now.

From Marilyn ten Brink e-mail

Posted by Charles Tilburg at 2007-10-17 12:01 PM
I had computer trouble this
morning and didn't get it resolved until now, so figure it is not very
helpful to join the call 5 minutes before it ends. Sorry about that.
I did look at the indicator list, and agree that erosion rates (in a
few places) would be informative since they integrate storm intensity
(wind, rain, wave, and current energy) and location. It might also be
helpful to also think of integrative indicators for precipitation, such
as run-off or river flow to supplement atmospheric precip measures.
Marilyn ten Brink


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