| 
 Resources		Identification of Important Habitats in Coastal New Hampshire
        Chapter 1. Summary of the Analysis Selection of Study Area Boundaries 
      
Early in the analysis, it became apparent that selection of the study 
        area boundaries must be affected by political, social and ecological considerations. 
        We had to include areas of interest to local conservation activists, include 
        complete governmental jurisdictions, and include areas affecting or protecting 
        critical marine resources. The initial proposal was for analysis of Great 
        Bay, New Hampshire. Upon consultation with local conservation and scientific 
        interests (Great Bay Resource Protection Partnership, New Hampshire National 
        Estuary Project, Jackson Estuarine Research Laboratory) this was expanded 
        to cover the waters and contiguous towns of Great Bay and Little Bay, 
        their tributaries to the head of tide, and the Seabrook/Hampton estuary. 
        To assure adequate consideration of resources near town borders, the study 
        area boundary was drawn to include a 1 mile buffer zone around the towns 
        (Figure of Study Area). 
        
      
 Selection of Evaluation Species 
      
One of the purposes of this pilot study is to establish methods for using 
        the list of high priority species identified by the Habitat Panel for 
        the GOMC. The list (Appendix A) contains 161 
        species, each assigned a numerical score based on carefully drawn criteria. 
        The proposal for this pilot study suggested that the highest scored species 
        from the list should be selected as candidate evaluation species. As a 
        practical matter, it was estimated that an analysis could be performed 
        within the time and cost constraints for about 12 to 20 species, and that 
        this number of "Great Bay species" might be found among the top 30 of 
        the GOMC list. To insure that priorities of local conservation interests 
        were considered, we proposed adding 3 locally important species to the 
        list of regionally important species. 
      
 We consulted with local experts from conservation organizations, agencies, 
        and the University of New Hampshire to select evaluation species from 
        the top increment of the GOMC list, and to nominate species of local interest. 
        The responses were highly significant: there was only limited local interest 
        in the designation of regionally significant habitats, and many 
        locally interesting species were recommended. However, the experts did 
        regard the top scored species of the GOMC list as locally important, 
        and a majority of their candidates were also on the GOMC list, but ranked 
        below the top 30. As a result, we produced a longer list of evaluation 
        species than intended. These, however, could be aggregated to identify 
        both regionally important and locally significant habitats. 
      
 The rationale for selecting species, whether of local interest or from 
        the GOMC list, was that they meet either of 2 criteria: 1) the study area 
        is likely to serve as important habitat for the species; 2) the species 
        is regarded as important in the study area. The former category may include 
        even uncommon species which rely on study area for some essential resources; 
        the latter may include species which are also abundant elsewhere, but 
        which are important as prey, predator, structure, or are of recreational 
        or commercial significance within the study area. The evaluation species 
        are presented in Table 1. The GOMC score was assigned by the Habitat Panel, 
        and ranged from 18 to 66 for the 161 species. 
      
 Table 1. Evaluation Species For The Great 
        Bay Pilot Project 
      
 
        
  			   
          
				| TOP GOMC SPECIES | GOMC SCORE | REASON FOR SELECTION |   
          
				| Irish moss | 66 | harvest, structure |   
          
				| soft shelled clam | 66 | harvest, prey |   
          
				| tufted red weed | 62 | harvest, structure |   
          
				| rockweed | 61 | harvest, structure |   
          
				| Atlantic salmon | 61 | harvest |   
          
				| winter flounder | 60 | harvest, predator |   
          
				| eelgrass | 59 | structure, producer |   
          
				| blue mussel | 59 | structure, prey |   
          
				| American shad | 57 | harvest |   
          
				| cordgrass | 57 | structure, producer |   
          
				| pollack | 57 | predator |   
          
				| lobster | 56 | harvest |   
          
				| LOCALLY SELECTED SPECIES |   
          
				| alewife | 55 | harvest, prey |   
          
				| bald eagle | 54 | predator, special habitat available |   
          
				| striped bass | 53 | harvest, predator |   
          
				| common tern | 51 | predator, special habitat available |   
          
				| rainbow smelt | 49 | harvest, prey |   
          
				| black duck | 48 | harvest |   
          
				| Canada goose | 46 | harvest |   
          
				| great blue heron | 42 | predator, special habitat available |   
          
				| tomcod | 36 | harvest, predator, special habitat available |   
          
				| Atlantic silversides | NA | prey |   
          
				| salt meadow hay | NA | structure, producer |   
          
				| smooth flounder | NA | predator, special habitat available |   
          
				| blueback herring | NA | harvest, prey |   
          
				| American oyster | NA | harvest, structure |  Methods for Identifying Habitats 
      
Identification and mapping of habitats for the evaluation species requires 
        the interpretation of data on the occurrences of each species, often by 
        life stage, and may require appraisal of the environmental aspects of 
        areas typically occupied. Habitats may be mapped by: 
      
 
			  
				Mapping observed occurrences. The study area may be surveyed, 
        each species sampled or counted directly in relation to mapped geographic 
        features or coordinates, and boundaries drawn around occurrences or concentrations. 
        Habitat quality can be estimated from the apparent intensity or duration 
        of use. This method is likely to require extensive, comprehensive surveys, 
        since occurrences may be highly variable over time. Counts are likely 
        to be incomplete or biased when the species is elusive, or the habitat 
        difficult of observation. The method doesn't require complete knowledge 
        of habitat requirements or the species biology. 
      
				Use of habitat models. Model development includes: 
      
 
				  Analysis. Associate occurrences by season and life stage to 
        habitat factors in order to identify key environmental features and their 
        relative suitabilities. 
      
Synthesis. Construct comprehensive habitat models based on 
        the literature, expert opinion, and testing against observations. 
      
Application. Operate the model, then examine the suitability 
        of mapped environmental features as habitat, by stage, season, or overall 
        resource value. Habitat boundaries are formed by the extents of environmental 
        features rather than occurrences of the species. 
      
				Expert opinion. Those most familiar with the local behavior 
        and distribution of a species may be able to depict areas it frequently 
        uses, as an overlay on a base map or aerial photo. 
        
      
 In general, highest level of confidence can be claimed by the first method, 
        although important habitat components may be overlooked in areas that 
        are difficult to sample. Observations are not transferable to new sites. 
        In contrast, models may be applied throughout the range of the species 
        characterization, providing basic environmental data are available. The 
        level of confidence in a model must depend on the quality of those data 
        and of the biological data and understanding that went into the model. 
        Expert opinion is of highly variable accuracy; it suffers from limited 
        documentation; local knowledge is not directly transferable to new sites. 
        It is important to note that suitable habitats, whether mapped from past 
        occurrences, by modeling, or expert opinion, may not be consistently occupied 
        by the species of interest. 
        
      
 Scoring of Habitats 
      
The habitat analysis was conducted in 2 stages; 1) mapping of occurrences 
        or of locations having suitable conditions for each species, including 
        an estimate of habitat quality, and 2) combining habitat maps for the 
        species, adjusting for the relative importance of the species or the relative 
        scarcity of its habitat(s). 
      
 Mapping Habitats by Species 
      
Our maps were created using a geographic information system (GIS), with 
        which we analyzed and overlaid digital spatial data (coverages). The analyses 
        used methods 1 and 2, or combinations of the two, depending on the availability 
        of information (see Table 2).  
      
 Table 2. Methods Used for Mapping Habitat, and Basic Spatial 
        Data 
      
 
        
  			   
          
				| SPECIES | MAPPING METHOD | BASE MAPS |   
          
				| Irish moss | occurrences | coastline, Great Bay wetlands coverage, aerial photos |   
          
				| soft shelled clam | model | occurrences, substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| tufted red weed | occurrences | coastline, Great Bay wetlands coverage, aerial photos |   
          
				| rockweed | occurrences | coastline, Great Bay wetlands coverage, aerial photos |   
          
				| Atlantic salmon | occurrences | NWI |   
          
				| winter flounder | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| eelgrass | occurrences | existing coverages |   
          
				| blue mussel | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| American shad | model + occurrences | NWI, salinity |   
          
				| cordgrass | occurrences | NWI, Great Bay wetlands coverage |   
          
				| pollock | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| American lobster | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| alewife | model + occurrences | NWI, salinity |   
          
				| bald eagle | occurrences | coastline |   
          
				| striped bass | model + occurrences | eelgrass, bathymetry, aerial photos, oyster and mussel 
            bars |   
          
				| common tern | model + occurrences | bathymetry |   
          
				| rainbow smelt | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| black duck | model | NWI, bathymetry, clam and mussel beds, eelgrass |   
          
				| Canada goose | model | NWI, bathymetry, landcover, eelgrass |   
          
				| great blue heron | model + occurrences | NWI, bathymetry, eelgrass |   
          
				| tomcod | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| Atlantic silversides | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| salt meadow hay | occurrences | NWI, Great Bay wetlands coverage |   
          
				| smooth flounder | model | substrate, bathymetry, temperature, salinity |   
          
				| blueback herring | model + occurrences | NWI, salinity |   
          
				| American oyster | occurrences |  |  We first obtained information on occurrences or habitat requirements 
        and associations for each species from the scientific and technical literature, 
        and from local experts. We then digitized the occurrence information or 
        operated models to produce coverages in which areas were assigned scores 
        as estimations of their "habitat suitability" for each evaluation species. 
        Habitat suitability (USFWS 1980) is a numerical representation of the 
        ability of an area to support at least some life stage of the species; 
        relatively higher suitability values indicate potential for greater population 
        density, reproductive success, growth rate, survival, etc. 
        
      
 Suitability models may predict the level of use of a habitat, and field 
        sampling and surveys can be used to test or validate a model. While we 
        did not have sufficient data for statistically testing our models, we 
        did overlay available sampling data on habitat maps generated by the models 
        to allow visual comparison. We adjusted the models to best fit the published 
        relationships and the local distribution of the species. While suitable 
        areas may not, in fact, be occupied because of population dynamics or 
        because other factors are limiting, unsuitable areas should typically 
        exhibit little usage by the species. Draft habitat suitability maps were 
        plotted, including narratives on all life stage components of the models, 
        how these were combined, and the available occurrence information. Local 
        experts then reviewed these maps, and used their knowledge (method 3) 
        as 'collateral data'. We also distributed description of the models for 
        review by local and other experts. Only final maps of aggregated life 
        stages are presented in this report; the intermediate information is archived 
        at the Gulf of Maine Project.
			   
        
      
 Habitat suitability ultimately was indexed on a 0 to 10 basis, lowest 
        to highest habitat value. Where occurrence information was used directly 
        to create digital maps (e.g., for marine algae, cordgrass, bald eagle) 
        the suitability of these sites were recognized by giving them a score 
        of 10. Maps created by the operation of models on environmental data layers 
        had a range of values according to the relative suitability of each layer. 
        
        
      
 Habitat suitability was considered by life stage and by season for many 
        of the species. When combining suitability maps for these stages and seasons 
        we took into account their probable interdependence. For example, mobile 
        species such as fishes and birds may migrate when local habitats become 
        seasonally unsuitable. In such cases, when potential use during one season 
        is independent of value during other seasons or value to other life stages 
        of the species, the habitat score for an area should reflect the most 
        favorable conditions which occur during the year. This was expressed by 
        calculating the maximum of the habitat suitability values among the seasons 
        examined. On the other hand, plants or sedentary animals such as mussels, 
        oysters, or clams are exposed to the entire range of conditions occurring 
        within that area during the year; for these species habitat suitability 
        may best be represented by a combination of seasonal values, or even the 
        minimum or most stressful set of conditions. 
        
      
 Habitats which were relatively specialized and scarce (e.g., spawning 
        habitats for some fishes) were combined with coverages for other life 
        stages by using a maximum function, to insure the recognition of highest 
        habitat valuation. The specifics of mapping are described in the narrative 
        for each species, and links are provided to figures showing habitat suitability 
        maps for various life stages. 
        
      
 Combining Habitat Maps for Groups of Species 
      
The digital habitat maps were aggregated in two ways; to identify regionally 
        important habitats and to identify locally important habitats. The former 
        incorporated, in addition to habitat suitability, a measure of each species' 
        importance derived from the GOMC criteria. Application of the criteria 
        produced a set of scores based on characteristics of each species. Habitat 
        for the highest scored species on the GOMC list was regarded as more important 
        than equivalent habitat for a species with lower score. These scores were, 
        in fact, used to index the values for the final map of regionally important 
        habitats. Since local interests expressed little enthusiasm for the regional 
        importance of the species, this index was not applied when producing maps 
        for local conservation purposes. 
        
      
 The map of regionally important habitats was created from habitat maps 
        for the top ranked GOMC species (Figure of Regionally 
        Important Habitats within the Gulf of Maine). We indexed their GOMC 
        scores (see Table 1) on a 1 to 10 basis, then multiplied their habitat 
        suitability values by that index and added the products on a cell by cell 
        basis. The index values represent the species' scores in relation to the 
        full range of scores for the GOMC list (18 to 66); they are presented 
        in Table 3.  
        
      
 Table 3. Index Values Representing Regional Importance; Applied to Top Ranked Gulf of Maine Council Species
 
          
				 
            
	  			  | GOMC SPECIES | INDEX OF SCORES (1 - 10)
             |   
            
	  			  | Irish moss | 9.96 |   
            
	  			  | soft shelled clam | 9.96 |   
            
	  			  | tufted red weed | 9.25 |   
            
	  			  | rockweed | 9.08 |   
            
	  			  | Atlantic salmon | 9.03 |   
            
	  			  | winter flounder | 8.94 |   
            
	  			  | eelgrass | 8.77 |   
            
	  			  | blue mussel | 8.73 |   
            
	  			  | American shad | 8.33 |   
            
	  			  | cordgrass | 8.25 |   
            
	  			  | pollock | 8.23 |   
            
	  			  | American lobster | 8.06 |  The relative abundance of habitats or habitat components is generally 
        of concern to conservationists, and was actually a ranking factor in creation 
        of the GOMC list. Abundance or scarcity is related to risk; the impact 
        on great blue herons, for example, from loss of one acre of nesting habitat 
        is almost certainly more severe than from loss of one acre of the far 
        more abundant feeding habitat. Local abundance or scarcity of habitat(s) 
        was regarded as relevant to the local importance of habitats. It is not 
        proportional to regional abundance, and so this factor was not used for 
        creating the regional map. 
        
      
 To map locally important habitats (for all species, since the GOMC species 
        also were regarded as locally important), we multiplied the habitat suitability 
        values by an index representing the respective relative scarcity of each 
        habitat within the study area (Figure of Important 
        Habitats within Coastal New Hampshire). This was calculated from the 
        extent of habitat for each species or stage, divided by the extent of 
        the most abundant habitat. Relative scarcity was calculated by life stage 
        or habitat function, where more than one of these was mapped (e.g., reproductive, 
        juvenile, and adult habitats for some fishes; multiple habitats for black 
        ducks). Thus, relatively rare habitat components could be highlighted, 
        even where the overall habitat for a species might be extensive, or where 
        some components were not mapped for all species. This index, also on a 
        1 to 10 basis, is enumerated in Table 4. The products (scarcity index 
        times habitat suitability values) were summed on a cell by cell basis. 
         
        
      
 Table 4. Index Values Representing Relative Scarcity 
        of Habitats; Applied to all Species for Mapping Locally Important 
        Habitats
 (1 = most abundant: 10 = most rare)
 
          
				 
            
	  			  | SPECIES/STAGE | CELLS | ACRES | INDEX (1 TO 10) |   
            
	  			  | Irish moss | 786 | 159 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | soft shelled clam |   
            
	  			  | adult | 37903 | 7658 | 8.4 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 34555 | 6981 | 8.5 |   
            
	  			  | tufted red weed | 311 | 63 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | rockweed | 1011 | 204 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | Atlantic salmon | 547 | 111 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | winter flounder |   
            
	  			  | adult | 51444 | 10394 | 7.8 |   
            
	  			  | juvenile | 51521 | 10409 | 7.8 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 21512 | 4346 | 9.1 |   
            
	  			  | eelgrass | 10709 | 2164 | 9.5 |   
            
	  			  | blue mussel | 15710 | 3174 | 9.3 |   
            
	  			  | American shad |   
            
	  			  | larval/juvenile | 8240 | 1665 | 9.6 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 1389 | 281 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | cordgrass | 2110 | 426 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | pollock | 54135 | 10937 | 7.7 |   
            
	  			  | American lobster |   
            
	  			  | adult | 21571 | 4358 | 9.1 |   
            
	  			  | juvenile | 4952 | 998 | 9.8 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 0 | 0 | - |   
            
	  			  | river herring |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 2194 | 443 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | juvenile | 10197 | 2060 | 9.6 |   
            
	  			  | bald eagle | 363 | 73 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | striped bass | 55286 | 11170 | 7.6 |   
            
	  			  | common tern |   
            
	  			  | nesting | 1418 | 286 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | feeding | 86252 | 17426 | 6.3 |   
            
	  			  | rainbow smelt |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 2341 | 473 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | adult/juvenile | 54174 | 10945 | 7.7 |   
            
	  			  | black duck |   
            
	  			  | breeding | 209470 | 42321 | 1 |   
            
	  			  | brood rearing | 209470 | 42321 | 1 |   
            
	  			  | migration | 209477 | 42322 | 1 |   
            
	  			  | wintering | 11822 | 2388 | 9.5 |   
            
	  			  | Canada goose |   
            
	  			  | migration | 132439 | 26758 | 4.3 |   
            
	  			  | wintering | 19612 | 3962 | 9.2 |   
            
	  			  | great blue heron |   
            
	  			  | nesting | 618 | 125 | 10 |   
            
	  			  | feeding | 206028 | 41625 | 1.1 |   
            
	  			  | tomcod |   
            
	  			  | adult | 47975 | 9693 | 7.9 |   
            
	  			  | juvenile | 47975 | 9693 | 7.9 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 36958 | 7467 | 8.4 |   
            
	  			  | Atlantic silversides |   
            
	  			  | adult | 55280 | 11169 | 7.6 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 15286 | 3088 | 9.3 |   
            
	  			  | salt meadow hay | 31146 | 6293 | 8.7 |   
            
	  			  | smooth flounder |   
            
	  			  | adult | 57142 | 11545 | 7.5 |   
            
	  			  | juvenile | 51797 | 10465 | 7.8 |   
            
	  			  | reproductive | 19490 | 3938 | 9.2 |   
            
	  			  | American oyster | 3036 | 613 | 9.9 |   
            
	  			  | TOTAL STUDY AREA | 1182747 | 238959 |  |   
            
	  			  | MOST ABUNDANT HABITAT | 209875 | 42403 |  |  
 <RETURN TO TABLE OF CONTENTS> 
 |